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Table 3 Brier Score, ROC AUC, and demographic information by procedure type

From: Predicting complications of major head and neck oncological surgery: an evaluation of the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator

Procedure

N

Brier Score*,†

ROCa,†

% T4a

Radiated Patients

CPT Code(s)

Hemiglossectomy with Free Flap

4

0.0032

N/A

25%

0

41,135

Partial Glossectomy

12

0.0015

N/A

0%

0

41,120

Laryngectomy

5

0.0954

0.956

100%

3

31,365

Laryngopharyngectomy with Free Flap

16

0.0732

0.842

81%

2

31,395

Composite Resection with Free Flap

39

0.0807

0.842

30%

4

41,153 & 41,155

Thyroidectomy Overall

30

0.0241

0.817

7%

0

60,252 & 60,240

Thyroidectomy with neck dissection

21

0.0229

0.816

7%

0

60,252

Thyroidectomy without neck dissection

9

0.0273

0.845

0%

0

60,240

  1. *Brier scores of < 0.09 and ROC > 0.7 (bold values) were considered accurate
  2. aN/A indicates no ROC score could be calculated due to the absence of complications
  3. †Bold values meet or exceed their respective accuracy thresholds