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Table 3 Brier Score, ROC AUC, and demographic information by procedure type

From: Predicting complications of major head and neck oncological surgery: an evaluation of the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator

Procedure N Brier Score*,† ROCa,† % T4a Radiated Patients CPT Code(s)
Hemiglossectomy with Free Flap 4 0.0032 N/A 25% 0 41,135
Partial Glossectomy 12 0.0015 N/A 0% 0 41,120
Laryngectomy 5 0.0954 0.956 100% 3 31,365
Laryngopharyngectomy with Free Flap 16 0.0732 0.842 81% 2 31,395
Composite Resection with Free Flap 39 0.0807 0.842 30% 4 41,153 & 41,155
Thyroidectomy Overall 30 0.0241 0.817 7% 0 60,252 & 60,240
Thyroidectomy with neck dissection 21 0.0229 0.816 7% 0 60,252
Thyroidectomy without neck dissection 9 0.0273 0.845 0% 0 60,240
  1. *Brier scores of < 0.09 and ROC > 0.7 (bold values) were considered accurate
  2. aN/A indicates no ROC score could be calculated due to the absence of complications
  3. Bold values meet or exceed their respective accuracy thresholds