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Table 2 Probability values

From: Cost-effectiveness analysis of molecular testing for cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules

Health State

Probability

References

Afirma

Lobectomy

0.389

11

Malignancy diagnosed on lobectomy

0.440

11, EO

Eventual lobectomy following observation

0.400

13, EO

Malignancy in nodules being observed

0.091

11

Current Practice

Lobectomy

0.740

8

Malignancy diagnosed on lobectomy

0.195

4, 5

Eventual lobectomy following observation

0.400

13, EO

Malignancy in nodules being observed

0.160

11, EO

Both

Complication following lobectomy

0.135

4, 5, EO

Complication following completion thyroidectomy

0.117

4, 5, EO

Completion thyroidectomy following lobectomy for malignancy pathology

0.042

12

  1. EO expert opinion